Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 351.308541 397.572305 448.645251 509.380040 579.855069 659.315828 756.054273
2025-12-28 289.306963 352.210272 427.812422 526.093110 651.527316 807.666069 1018.936830
2026-01-04 257.545527 329.304377 420.669817 547.006883 719.493003 950.151183 1287.739098
2026-01-11 228.548715 303.606296 403.596193 548.833120 758.247434 1055.315032 1519.746025
2026-01-18 201.759140 276.480109 379.779618 536.072682 772.001859 1123.944314 1706.535605
2026-01-25 180.827321 254.576369 359.885171 525.060081 784.810485 1190.301271 1897.668969
2026-02-01 170.178084 245.959430 357.648581 539.172068 836.529338 1322.523860 2217.118797
2026-02-08 157.546647 232.912955 347.073737 538.466636 863.489009 1416.891787 2486.288341
2026-02-15 145.576264 219.617016 334.563258 532.771116 880.629991 1495.723566 2739.580703
2026-02-22 137.137119 210.996062 328.445780 536.650317 914.175295 1607.462419 3075.522269
2026-03-01 127.211120 199.077245 315.760214 527.659501 923.073867 1674.013160 3331.317707
2026-03-08 119.094507 189.429104 305.928916 522.488369 938.048770 1753.697122 3629.268459
2026-03-15 108.751964 175.405437 287.720244 500.755534 919.621538 1765.893599 3784.062517
2026-03-22 105.438883 173.111572 289.677909 516.598356 977.071044 1943.297331 4361.294832
2026-03-29 103.061271 172.204076 293.925589 537.108263 1046.503344 2157.298212 5078.470292
2026-04-05 98.211584 166.506106 288.932787 538.894128 1076.703851 2288.491432 5614.461006
2026-04-12 91.897439 157.694418 277.436554 526.400841 1074.287261 2343.562521 5957.451298
2026-04-19 86.349418 149.906307 267.267212 515.617879 1074.307720 2404.405558 6331.692092
2026-04-26 84.202783 148.293006 268.790890 529.435454 1132.165042 2617.406349 7211.158461
2026-05-03 80.539483 143.545187 263.798483 528.744768 1155.843432 2747.115583 7869.510787
2026-05-10 76.620817 138.045247 256.891274 523.168194 1167.009082 2845.620186 8454.530074
2026-05-17 73.959522 134.814046 254.308481 526.966403 1201.794330 3014.453297 9327.929219
2026-05-24 70.231909 129.242493 246.522284 518.163161 1203.539409 3090.721379 9896.769575